Labour Market Outlook

The Adecco Group UK&I has joined forces with the CIPD (Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development) to produce the CIPD/the Adecco Group Labour Market Outlook (LMO). The LMO is a quarterly report providing analysis and commentary on key employment trends.

Our partnership with the CIPD supports our aim to provide fresh insight and deeper understanding into workforce management and recruitment challenges by building strategic links with professional organisations and academic bodies. The LMO is one of the most authoritative employment indicators in the UK. Information about survey methodology can be found in the reports.

About the CIPD

The CIPD is the professional body for HR and people development. The not-for-profit organisation champions better work and working lives and has been setting the benchmark for excellence in people and organisation development for more than 100 years. It has a community of 150,000 members across the world, provides thought leadership through independent research on the world of work, and offers professional training and accreditation for those working in HR and learning and development.

The CIPD/the Adecco Group Labour Market Outlook (LMO), Winter 2018/2019 Report

Employment confidence

This report shows the overall NEB (the difference between intentions to increase and decrease staff numbers) at +20 (down from +22 in the autumn 2018 report).

Broken down by sector, the NEB for the private sector is +23 (previously +26), +7 in the public sector (same as previous report), and +22 in the voluntary sector (down from +29 in the previous report).

Pay rises

2% is the median average basic pay increase expectation for December 2018 – December 2019. This has been relatively similar for the last six quarters.

This quarter’s LMO shows a contrast between private and public sector pay expectations. The private sector is expecting median average basic pay increases to rise to 2.5% (a high since the report started tracking this in 2012). In contrast, the public sector expectation has gone down to 1.1%.  For insights on managing attraction and retention challenges, read our foreword in the report below.